CDN Webinar: Are utility-led programs enough to drive growth?

  • CDN Webinar: Are utility-led programs enough to drive growth?

    Posted by Ryan on 3 March 2026 at 2:22 pm

    Is the current model, based on Énergir’s mandatory procurement of renewable natural gas (RNG), sufficient to ensure sustainable growth of the sector, or will a new economic driver be required by 2030, especially considering the increase in construction costs?

    Natalia Bourenane replied 1 week ago 3 Members · 3 Replies
  • 3 Replies
  • Nikan

    Member
    3 March 2026 at 3:32 pm

    Very likely, yes, unless a few things happen at once (capital costs normalize, more low-cost feedstock projects come online, and low-term contracting becomes standard).

    The future next driver imo usually looks like a combination of:

    – Longer term procurement and contract structures (so projects can finance on predictable cashflows)

    – Stackable incentives (provincial and federal programs, grants, loan guarantees)

    – Carbon Market credit value that projects can bank on (where elegible)

    Sooo: the mandate can keep the market moving, but to scale sustainably, you typically need an additional layer that turns RNG into a financeable infrastucture asset, not just a compliance blend

  • Natalia Bourenane

    Organizer
    4 March 2026 at 7:35 am

    I think the main question here is how much growth is good enough. For now, if we take all Canadian provinces, the Energir’s mandate is the strongest driver of RNG market growth coupled with government support mechanisms (PSPGNR). Now, since 2025, the support program is on hold and we see the direct result – new projects are on hold also.

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